Cocoa supply risks

Active and seasonal supply-side risks affecting cocoa markets.

critical

EUDR (EU Deforestation Regulation 2023/1115)

high

CSSV (Cocoa Swollen Shoot Virus)

high

Frosty pod rot (Moniliophthora roreri)

high

Aging tree stock + insufficient replanting

high

Climate vulnerability

moderate

Black pod (Phytophthora palmivora/megakarya)

moderate

Witch's broom (Moniliophthora perniciosa)

moderate

Harmattan severity (dry season)

moderate

EU Cadmium MRL

moderate

Cross-border smuggling (Ghana ↔ Cote d'Ivoire ↔ Togo)