Coffee supply risks

Active and seasonal supply-side risks affecting coffee markets.

critical

EUDR (EU Deforestation Regulation 2023/1115)

critical

Brazilian frost risk (May-July)

high

Brazilian Arabica biennial cycle

high

Vietnamese drought

high

Coffee Leaf Rust (la roya)

high

Climate vulnerability - Arabica

moderate

Crop diversification trend (Robusta)

moderate

Living income gap

moderate

FX volatility BRL/VND/COP/ETB/UGX

moderate

Ethiopian regional unrest