Annual cycle by region
Each row tracks one production region across the calendar year. Amber bars mark critical weather-sensitive windows where yield outcomes are determined.
Why these windows matter
Citrus (Oranges, Mandarins, Lemons, Limes, Grapefruit) yields are determined disproportionately during a small number of weather-sensitive windows. Across the 7 production regions tracked here, 9 windows show outsized sensitivity to rainfall, temperature, or storm damage. Buyers who track these windows can position contracts ahead of price moves driven by yield uncertainty.
The most consequential weather risks for citrus (oranges, mandarins, lemons, limes, grapefruit) are concentrated in specific months. Florida orange belt directly exposed to Atlantic hurricane season Sep-Nov. Hurricane Ian (Sep 2022) and Idalia (Aug 2023) caused 30-70% crop losses. Compounds HLB damage. Drives FCOJ price spikes ($3-4/lb 2023-24). Climate change increasing hurricane intensity. Citrus trees damaged at -2°C; killed at -6°C. Texas 2021 Uri freeze devastated grapefruit. Florida occasional freezes destroy crop. Brazil frost rare but catastrophic when occurs (1994 Black Frost). Mediterranean periodic frost events. These forces drive the seasonal volatility that shows up in futures markets weeks or months later.
The calendar above is structural, not predictive — it shows where and when citrus (oranges, mandarins, lemons, limes, grapefruit) grows under normal conditions. Weather anomalies (El Niño, La Niña, regional droughts) shift these windows by weeks and compound across regions. Atlas Tradex tracks these anomalies in its supply-risk data and surfaces them on the citrus (oranges, mandarins, lemons, limes, grapefruit) risk surface.
Atlas Tradex lists verified citrus (oranges, mandarins, lemons, limes, grapefruit) suppliers with current-season inventory and capacity. Filter by origin, harvest window, and compliance posture in one view.
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